Stefan Pfenninger

Use the “” icon next to a paper to directly download a PDF where available, or use the DOI link to get the publisher’s version (potentially paywalled).

Journal publications

Iain Staffell and Stefan Pfenninger (2018). The increasing impact of weather on electricity supply and demand. Energy 145, pp. 65-78. doi: 10.1016/

Stefan Pfenninger, Lion Hirth, Ingmar Schlecht, Eva Schmid, Frauke Wiese, Tom Brown, Chris Davis, Matthew Gidden, Heidi Heinrichs, Clara Heuberger, Simon Hilpert, Uwe Krien, Carsten Matke, Arjuna Nebel, Robbie Morrison, Berit Müller, Guido Pleßmann, Matthias Reeg, Jörn C. Richstein, Abhishek Shivakumar, Iain Staffell, Tim Tröndle and Clemens Wingenbach (2018). Opening the black box of energy modelling: strategies and lessons learned. Energy Strategy Reviews 19, pp. 63–71 doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2017.12.002

Christian M. Grams, Remo Beerli, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell and Heini Wernli (2017). Balancing Europe’s wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes. Nature Climate Change 7, pp. 557–562. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3338

Fabrizio Fattori, Norma Anglani, Iain Staffell and Stefan Pfenninger (2017). High Solar Photovoltaic Penetration in Absence of Substantial Wind Capacity: Storage Requirements and Effects on Capacity Adequacy. Energy 137, pp. 193-208. doi: 10.1016/

Johan Lilliestam, Mercè Labordena, Anthony Patt and Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Empirically observed learning rates for concentrating solar power and their responses to regime change. Nature Energy 2, 17094. doi: 10.1038/nenergy.2017.94

Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Dealing with multiple decades of hourly wind and PV time series in energy models: a comparison of methods to reduce time resolution and the planning implications of inter-annual variability. Applied Energy 197, pp. 1–13. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.03.051

Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Energy scientists must show their workings. Nature 542, 393. doi: 10.1038/542393a

Stefan Pfenninger, Joseph DeCarolis, Lion Hirth, Sylvain Quoilin and Iain Staffell (2017). The importance of open data and software: is energy research lagging behind? Energy Policy 101, pp. 211–215. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.11.046

Stefan Pfenninger and Iain Staffell (2016). Long-term patterns of European PV output using 30 years of validated hourly reanalysis and satellite data. Energy 114, pp. 1251-1265. doi: 10.1016/

Iain Staffell and Stefan Pfenninger (2016). Using Bias-Corrected Reanalysis to Simulate Current and Future Wind Power Output. Energy 114, pp. 1224-1239. doi: 10.1016/

Saskia Werners, Erik van Slobbe, Tobias Bölscher, Albert Oost, Stefan Pfenninger, Giacomo Trombi, Marco Bindi, and Marco Moriondo (2015). Turning points in climate change adapatation. Ecology and Society 20(4):3. doi: 10.5751/ES-07403-200403

Junjian Qi and Stefan Pfenninger (2015). Controlling the self-organizing dynamics in a sandpile model on complex networks by failure tolerance. EPL (Europhysics Letters) 111(3) 38006. doi: 10.1209/0295-5075/111/38006

Stefan Pfenninger and James Keirstead (2015). Comparing concentrating solar and nuclear power as baseload providers using the example of South Africa. Energy 87, pp. 303-314. doi: 10.1016/

Stefan Pfenninger and James Keirstead (2015). Renewables, nuclear, or fossil fuels? Comparing scenarios for the Great Britain electricity system. Applied Energy 152, pp. 83-93. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.102

Stefan Pfenninger, Paul Gauché, Johan Lilliestam, Kerstin Damerau, Fabian Wagner and Anthony Patt (2014). Potential for concentrating solar power to provide baseload and dispatchable power. Nature Climate Change 4(8), pp. 689–692. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2276

Nadejda Komendantova, Stefan Pfenninger and Anthony Patt (2014). Governance Barriers to Renewable Energy in North Africa. International Spectator 49(2), pp. 50-65. doi: 10.1080/03932729.2014.907627.

Stefan Pfenninger, Adam Hawkes and James Keirstead (2014). Energy systems modeling for twenty-first century energy challenges. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 33, pp. 74-86. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.02.003

Anthony Patt, Stefan Pfenninger and Johan Lilliestam. Vulnerability of solar energy infrastructure and output to climate change (2013). Climatic Change 121, pp. 93-102. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0887-0

Saskia Werners, Stefan Pfenninger, Rob Swart, Erik van Slobbe, Marjolijn Haasnoot and Jan Kwakkel. Thresholds, tipping and turning points for sustainability under climate change (2013). Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(3-4), pp. 334-340. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.06.005

Susanne Hanger, Stefan Pfenninger, Magali Dreyfus and Anthony Patt (2013). Knowledge and information needs of adaptation policy-makers: a European study. Regional Environmental Change 13(1), pp. 91-101. doi: 10.1007/s10113-012-0317-2


Dieter Imboden and Stefan Pfenninger. Introduction to Systems Analysis: Mathematically Modeling Natural Systems. December 2012. Berlin: Springer. ISBN: 978-3-642-30638-9. Details, and interactive online examples, are on the book website.